have their origins in easterly waves that move “away” from the African continent. Leslie is a long-lasting storm that has drunkenly meandered around the Atlantic Ocean since September 23rd. I am writing this on October 12th. It has generated 15 named days according to Colorado State University expert Dr. Philip Klotzbach and certainly has some days left. I should also mention that spent a few days as a post-tropical system, and those are not counted as part of the named record. You can certainly see why Hurricane Leslie has been called the “zombie” storm. What caught my eye is the latest forecast track, and a statement issued by the National Hurricane Center:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Madeira Island (north of the Canary Islands) in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean due to #Leslie. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected early Saturday morning.

If you look at current satellite imagery of Hurricane Leslie moving eastward (below), Africa and Europe are within view folks. That’s weird.

Satellite view of Hurricane Leslie and Tropical Storm Nadine on October 12th, 2018NOAA

Before I discuss how weird that is, it is useful to explore Leslie’s history. Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski laid out a timeline of Leslie on Accuweather’s website. I have summarize his timeline:

  1. Leslie initially formed as a subtropical storm in the middle of the Atlantic.
  2. Leslie becomes tropical on October 3rd.
  3. Leslie weakens to tropical storm on October 4th and remains at that level until October 9th.
  4. Leslie becomes a hurricane on October 9th

When you look at the latest projected track of Leslie, places like Portugal, Spain, and Morocco appear on the map. If you want to know just how odd this track is, consider a social media post from my colleague Dr. Tom Gill at University of Texas – El Paso. Tom wrote on his Facebook page,

From the weather weirding department: (Citing a NOAA hurricane discussion at 5: 00 am AST) “a tropical storm warning has been issued for (Madeira)) island. It is the first known tropical storm warning for that place, and there are no known tropical storms in the historical record anywhere within 100 miles of that island, with the closest being Vince of 2005.” And there is a lonnnnnnnnnnnng historical record in Madeira. Perhaps the first tropical cyclone to ever directly impact Madeira in its long history. Yep, the weather patterns are changing.

Updated track (as of October 13th, 2018) for Hurricane LeslieNOAA

It gets even weirder. If you probe further into the National Hurricane Center discussion there is talk about some of the best weather models in the world suggesting landfall in Portugal or Spain. Other models loop the storm to the south and back west. The fact that I am even writing “landfall” and Iberian Peninsula in the same paragraph is just odd.

In 2017, Hurricane Ophelia was a freakish storm too. Ireland was actually in the forecast cone of uncertainty. At one point, Ophelia was targeting the Iberian Peninsula too. Kevin Loria documented in Business Insider only two known storms on record to hit the Iberian Peninsula (1842 and 2005). The tropical depression “formerly known as Hurricane Vince” was the most recent example. I pointed out in a 2017 Forbes piece about Hurricane Ophelia:

A 2013 study published in Geophysical Research Letters suggests that climate warming will bring more hurricanes to Europe. Using a climate model with very high resolution, the researchers found that increasing Atlantic tropical sea surface temperatures would extend eastward. This would provide a “fuel-laden” path for storms moving back toward Europe. Typically such storms die or go through extratropical transition, however, the additional energy from warm waters on “steroids” may provide an extra boost. I have been particularly surprised that Hurricane Ophelia has held together, and waters are warm enough to support its tropical requirements.

I know, I know. Some corners of the Internet will hyperventilate that there have been a sample of storms that probably did this in history, and we don’t have records before the satellite era. I agree. However, in my scientific viewpoint, it is somewhat naive to completely dismiss that warming sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic and is contributing to weather weirdos like Hurricanes Leslie and Ophelia. The figure below shows current sea surface temperature anomalies (differences from the climatological normal period 1981 to 2010) in the eastern Atlantic right now.

Current sea surface temperature anomaliesCDAS and tropicaltidbits.com

” readability=”58.1319131503″>
< div _ ngcontent-c15 ="" innerhtml ="

Upgraded at 7:22 am on October 3rd

You definitely checked out the title properly, and it is really comparable to one that I discussed Cyclone Ophelia in2017 Cyclone Leslie is presently headed towards Africa and Europe. The “towards” is the “weather condition strange” part of the declaration since usually tropical systems have their origins in easterly waves that move “away” from the African continent Leslie is a lasting storm that has actually drunkenly meandered around the Atlantic Ocean because September 23 rd. I am composing this on October 12 th. It has actually created 15 called days according to Colorado State University professional Dr. Philip Klotzbach and definitely has some days left. I need to likewise point out that invested a couple of days as a post-tropical system, and those are not counted as part of the called record. You can definitely see why Cyclone Leslie has actually been called the “zombie” storm. What captured my eye is the most recent projection track, and a declaration released by the National Cyclone Center:

A Hurricane Caution has actually been
released for Madeira Island( north of the Canary Islands) in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean due to #Leslie. Tropical-storm-force winds are anticipated early Saturday early morning.

(* )If you take a look at present satellite images of Cyclone Leslie moving eastward (listed below), Africa and Europe are within view folks. That’s strange.

(***************

)

Satellite view of Cyclone Leslie and Hurricane Nadine on October 12 th,2018 NOAA

(***********************
)

Prior to I talk about how strange that is, it works to check out Leslie’s history. Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski set out a timeline of Leslie on Accuweather’s site I have summarize his timeline:

  1. Leslie at first formed as a subtropical storm in the middle of the Atlantic.
  2. Leslie ends up being tropical on October 3rd.
  3. Leslie damages to hurricane on October fourth and stays at that level up until October 9th.
  4. (************************* )Leslie ends up being a cyclone on October 9th

When you take a look at the most recent predicted track of Leslie, locations like Portugal, Spain, and Morocco appear on the map. If you need to know simply how odd this track is, think about a social networks post from my associate Dr. Tom Gill at University of Texas – El Paso Tom composed on his Facebook page,

From the weather condition weirding department:( Pointing out a NOAA cyclone conversation at 5:00 am AST)” a hurricane caution has actually been released for (Madeira )) island. It is the very first recognized hurricane caution for that location, and there are no recognized hurricanes in the historic record anywhere within100 miles of that island, with the closest being Vince of2005″ And there is a lonnnnnnnnnnnng historic record in Madeira. Possibly the very first hurricane to ever straight effect Madeira in its long history. Yep, the weather condition patterns are altering.

(*********** )

Upgraded track( since October 13 th, 2018) for Cyclone Leslie NOAA

It gets back at weirder. If you penetrate even more into the National Cyclone Center conversation there is speak about a few of the very best weather condition designs on the planet recommending landfall in Portugal or Spain. Other designs loop the storm to the south and back west. The truth that I am even composing “landfall” and Iberian Peninsula in the exact same paragraph is simply odd.

In 2017, Cyclone Ophelia was a freakish storm too. Ireland was in fact in the projection cone of unpredictability. At one point, Ophelia was targeting the Iberian Peninsula too. Kevin Loria recorded in Organisation Expert just 2 recognized storms on record to strike the Iberian Peninsula (1842 and 2005). The tropical anxiety “previously referred to as Cyclone Vince” was the most current example. I mentioned in a 2017 Forbes piece about Cyclone Ophelia:

A2013 research study released in Geophysical Research Study Letters recommends that environment warming will bring more cyclones to Europe. Utilizing an environment design with really high resolution, the scientists discovered that increasing Atlantic tropical sea surface area temperature levels would extend eastward. This would offer a” fuel-laden” course for storms returning towards Europe. Generally such storms pass away or go through extratropical shift, nevertheless, the extra energy from warm waters on” steroids “might offer an additional increase. I have actually been especially amazed that Cyclone Ophelia has actually held together, and waters are warm sufficient to support its tropical requirements.

I understand, I understand. Some corners of the Web will hyperventilate that there have actually been a
sample of storms

that most likely did this in history, and we do not have records prior to the satellite period. I concur. Nevertheless, in my clinical perspective, it is rather ignorant to entirely dismiss that warming sea surface area temperature levels in the eastern Atlantic and is adding to weather weirdos like Hurricanes Leslie and Ophelia. The figure listed below programs present sea surface area temperature level abnormalities( distinctions from the climatological regular duration1981 to 2010) in the eastern Atlantic today.

Present sea surface area temperature level abnormalities CDAS and tropicaltidbits.com

” readability =”581319131503″ >

Upgraded at 7:22 am on October 3rd

You definitely checked out the title properly, and it is really comparable to one that I discussed Cyclone Ophelia in2017 Cyclone Leslie is presently headed towards Africa and Europe. The “towards” is the “weather condition strange” part of the declaration since usually tropical systems have their origins in easterly waves that move “away” from the African continent Leslie is a lasting storm that has actually drunkenly meandered around the Atlantic Ocean because September 23 rd. I am composing this on October 12 th. It has actually created 15 called days according to Colorado State University professional Dr. Philip Klotzbach and definitely has some days left. I need to likewise point out that invested a couple of days as a post-tropical system, and those are not counted as part of the called record. You can definitely see why Cyclone Leslie has actually been called the “zombie” storm. What captured my eye is the most recent projection track, and a declaration released by the National Cyclone Center :

.

A Hurricane Caution has actually been released for Madeira Island (north of the Canary Islands) in the far eastern Atlantic Ocean due to #Leslie. Tropical-storm-force winds are anticipated early Saturday early morning.

.

If you take a look at present satellite images of Cyclone Leslie moving eastward (listed below), Africa and Europe are within view folks. That’s strange.

.

.

Satellite view of Cyclone Leslie and Hurricane Nadine on October 12 th, 2018 NOAA

.

.

Prior to I talk about how strange that is, it works to check out Leslie’s history. Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski set out a timeline of Leslie on Accuweather’s site I have summarize his timeline:

    .

  1. Leslie at first formed as a subtropical storm in the middle of the Atlantic.
  2. Leslie ends up being tropical on October 3rd.
  3. Leslie damages to hurricane on October fourth and stays at that level up until October 9th.
  4. Leslie ends up being a cyclone on October 9th

.

When you take a look at the most recent predicted track of Leslie, locations like Portugal, Spain, and Morocco appear on the map. If you need to know simply how odd this track is, think about a social networks post from my associate Dr. Tom Gill at University of Texas – El Paso Tom composed on his Facebook page,

.

From the weather condition weirding department: (Pointing out a NOAA cyclone conversation at 5: 00 am AST) “a hurricane caution has actually been released for (Madeira)) island. It is the very first recognized hurricane caution for that location, and there are no recognized hurricanes in the historic record anywhere within 100 miles of that island, with the closest being Vince of 2005.” And there is a lonnnnnnnnnnnng historic record in Madeira. Possibly the very first hurricane to ever straight effect Madeira in its long history. Yep, the weather condition patterns are altering.

.

.

.

Upgraded track (since October 13 th, 2018) for Cyclone Leslie NOAA

.

.

It gets back at weirder. If you penetrate even more into the National Cyclone Center conversation there is speak about a few of the very best weather condition designs on the planet recommending landfall in Portugal or Spain. Other designs loop the storm to the south and back west. The truth that I am even composing “landfall” and Iberian Peninsula in the exact same paragraph is simply odd.

In 2017, Cyclone Ophelia was a freakish storm too. Ireland was in fact in the projection cone of unpredictability. At one point, Ophelia was targeting the Iberian Peninsula too. Kevin Loria recorded in Organisation Expert just 2 recognized storms on record to strike the Iberian Peninsula (1842 and 2005). The tropical anxiety “previously referred to as Cyclone Vince” was the most current example. I mentioned in a 2017 Forbes piece about Cyclone Ophelia :

.

A 2013 research study released in Geophysical Research Study Letters recommends that environment warming will bring more cyclones to Europe. Utilizing an environment design with really high resolution, the scientists discovered that increasing Atlantic tropical sea surface area temperature levels would extend eastward. This would offer a “fuel-laden” course for storms returning towards Europe. Generally such storms pass away or go through extratropical shift, nevertheless, the extra energy from warm waters on “steroids” might offer an additional increase. I have actually been especially amazed that Cyclone Ophelia has actually held together, and waters are warm sufficient to support its tropical requirements.

.

I understand, I understand. Some corners of the Web will hyperventilate that there have actually been a sample of storms that most likely did this in history, and we do not have records prior to the satellite period. I concur. Nevertheless, in my clinical perspective, it is rather ignorant to entirely dismiss that warming sea surface area temperature levels in the eastern Atlantic and is adding to weather weirdos like Hurricanes Leslie and Ophelia. The figure listed below programs present sea surface area temperature level abnormalities (distinctions from the climatological regular duration 1981 to 2010) in the eastern Atlantic today.

.

.

Present sea surface area temperature level abnormalities CDAS and tropicaltidbits.com

.

.

.